View the Stakes for UFC FN151 under:
Shane Burgos Free Breakdown
At 28 years of age, Burgos is coming into his prime as he takes on the veteran Cub Swanson. He could have a substantial advantage advantage of 5.5 inches and is overall a much larger featherweight. At the pocket Burgos is vastly more technical with crisp mixes and harmful power. He comes from a good camp but his principal weakness appears to be defense, where he has left himself vulnerable to strikes and been hurt in many recent fights.
Swanson is a much more unorthadox and wild fighter and his personality looks to struggle against more technical competition. He’s on a significant losing streak where he has appeared flat and vulnerable in each struggle. It seems Cub is on a a recession that’s not surprising given his age in a division where speed is king. It must be noted that many of Cub’s losses have come to top 10 opposition, but it is his lack of competitiveness which raise a red flag.
This fight ought to be entertaining with the two men willing to stand and trade. In the improbable event that Swanson can reignite his early career performances that this might be a close battle, but we expect to see a falling veteran who can’t keep up with the more technical youthful talent. Back Burgos to get the win here, likely in the distance.Brad Katona Breakdown
Katona, winner of TUF and the hometown fighter is taking about the ever relentless Merab Dvalishvili. Katona has considerably better striking than his opponent and retains a BJJ blackbelt. In his profession he hasn’t shown the most effective initial takedown defense however he uses his grappling talents to remain dangerous and make scrambles. Thus far he’s shown a strong ability to get back to his feet. Dvalishvili is essential standing, mostly throwing his hand to set up level changes. He averages a absurd amount of takedown efforts each fight, compounded by the fact that he struggles to maintain top position for extended periods.
In this fight it is possible Dvalishvili does land takedowns but Katona has plenty of skills to avoid getting stuck onto his spine. More time on the feet for Katona means he’ll maintain control, landing damage and accumulating rounds. This ought to be a close battle where the value lies with the neighborhood underdog.
Bet = Katona at 2.65 (+165) odds. Risk 2 Units to win 3.30 Units.
Nordine Taleb Breakdown
Kyle Prepolec is coming to this fight on short notice and united with the fact he is fighting a branch his chances look slim. Taleb is a well rounded fighter who has a significant advantage in all areas of the battle. On the feet he is defensively noise and fights long with his jab, straight punches and leg kicks to place the distance. Prepolec enjoys to get in close but leaves himself wide open when entering the pocket. His strikes are he should be receptive to counters in Taleb. Size are also a large element in which Prepolec has demonstrated a tendency to get out muscled in the grappling section by far smaller and not as gifted fighters than Taleb. This is probably his safest path to success where he likely dominates to establish a finish. On short notice debut there are just too many obstacles to conquer and whilst the odds are short, this looks to be a simple win.
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